Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 26.038675 30.075613 34.446037 39.518294 45.231846 51.457194 58.741778
2025-01-05 20.106361 25.922511 32.823593 41.560644 52.266672 64.893390 80.842081
2025-01-12 15.326055 21.627139 29.680087 40.602907 54.889647 72.783615 96.709208
2025-01-19 11.797411 18.024177 26.512831 38.724090 55.593726 77.796202 108.887325
2025-01-26 10.576720 17.238535 26.805086 41.224307 62.014208 90.442453 131.680107
2025-02-02 9.943335 17.142308 27.953627 44.908486 70.248172 106.016355 159.429355
2025-02-09 8.711895 15.899767 27.191812 45.613237 74.134828 115.660163 179.434353
2025-02-16 7.544627 14.555325 26.059019 45.546634 76.743757 123.500702 197.206041
2025-02-23 6.503284 13.246233 24.787737 45.059511 78.558121 130.154154 213.493912
2025-03-02 5.668715 12.164925 23.740954 44.779451 80.591765 137.165910 230.620621
2025-03-09 4.956439 11.193060 22.749065 44.451043 82.450470 143.932390 247.656031
2025-03-16 4.053146 9.692687 20.606686 41.856989 80.230448 143.947202 253.906546
2025-03-23 3.707329 9.315909 20.582397 43.202498 85.123369 156.253708 281.340696
2025-03-30 3.475089 9.155290 20.976114 45.403115 91.780856 172.066834 315.724857
2025-04-06 2.954567 8.249584 19.753551 44.367013 92.471012 177.752954 333.510769
2025-04-13 2.432289 7.227766 18.133752 42.336076 91.083181 179.658353 344.871714
2025-04-20 2.346117 7.268438 18.807706 45.038149 98.919026 198.397061 386.483116
2025-04-27 2.351137 7.546068 20.039797 49.016969 109.522094 222.716974 439.150388
2025-05-04 2.137310 7.195438 19.784913 49.777717 113.776251 235.612348 472.023488
2025-05-11 1.899057 6.726288 19.183732 49.705826 116.316583 245.428814 499.779096
2025-05-18 1.666779 6.222086 18.422513 49.180001 117.848763 253.378690 524.443781
2025-05-25 1.474521 5.795087 17.791678 48.877666 119.805726 262.222361 551.171926
2025-06-01 1.303470 5.394755 17.170270 48.523114 121.603421 270.825065 577.827952